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View Full Version : SoCal Storm - Warning - Thursday - Saturday


bugzy
09-18-2007, 11:25 PM
http://www.weather.com/weather/newscenter/alerts/92147?alertId=617138


ORANGE COUNTY COASTAL AREAS-SAN DIEGO COUNTY COASTAL AREAS- SAN BERNARDINO AND RIVERSIDE COUNTY VALLEYS-THE INLAND EMPIRE- SAN DIEGO COUNTY VALLEYS-SAN BERNARDINO COUNTY MOUNTAINS- RIVERSIDE COUNTY MOUNTAINS- SANTA ANA MOUNTAINS AND FOOTHILLS- SAN DIEGO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-APPLE AND LUCERNE VALLEYS- COACHELLA VALLEY-SAN DIEGO COUNTY DESERTS- 520 AM PDT TUE SEP 18 2007

...STRONG SEPTEMBER STORM POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY...
A STRONG STORM FOR SEPTEMBER MAY MOVE THROUGH SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA LATE THURSDAY THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. THIS STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE WEATHER VERY RARELY SEEN IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA IN SEPTEMBER. THIS COULD BE THE STRONGEST MID LATITUDE SEPTEMBER STORM FOR SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA IN AROUND 20 YEARS. SEPTEMBER STORMS WITH SOME SIMILARITY TO THIS STORM OCCURRED IN 1986 AND IN 1963.
THIS STORM IS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING OVER SOUTHWESTERN BRITISH COLUMBIA AND WILL MOVE QUICKLY SOUTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST TO NEAR THE BAY AREA BY WEDNESDAY EVENING...THEN WILL MOVE MORE SLOWLY SOUTHWARD ALONG THE CENTRAL CALIFORNIA COAST TO NEAR POINT CONCEPTION BY EARLY THURSDAY EVENING. MOVEMENT THEN WILL BE SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY. THERE ARE STILL SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE TRACK FORECAST AND TIMING FOR THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AND ESPECIALLY FOR THE POTENTIAL IMPACTS TO SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA.
STRONG WINDS WILL DEVELOP IN ADVANCE OF THIS STORM IN THE MOUNTAINS AND DESERTS FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. THIS STORM SHOULD BRING MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH COOLEST TEMPERATURES FRIDAY. DEPENDING UPON THE EVENTUAL TRACK AND TIMING OF THIS STORM... THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY PRECIPITATION AT TIMES FROM LATE THURSDAY THROUGH LATE FRIDAY. THIS STORM WILL BE QUITE COLD FOR SEPTEMBER WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF THUNDERSTORMS AND EVEN FOR SNOWFALL IN THE MOUNTAINS ABOVE 6000 FEET. THERE IS ALSO THE POSSIBILITY OF WATERSPOUTS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND TORNADOES OVER ADJACENT LAND AREAS. STAY TUNED THE NEXT FEW DAYS FOR LATER UPDATES ON THIS DEVELOPING STORM.

bugzy
09-18-2007, 11:33 PM
http://www.weather.gov/alerts/us.html#CAZ043.SGXSPSSGX.122300

slowjet
09-18-2007, 11:49 PM
ooooh, fun. Working in the rain. Its been nearly two years since i last worked in the rain.

v2rocket
09-19-2007, 01:22 AM
tornadoes? wtf?

EDM
09-19-2007, 04:30 AM
The same thing up here except no tornados or waterspouts.

Special Weather Statement


ANTELOPE VALLEY-CATALINA ISLAND-CUYAMA VALLEY- LOS ANGELES COUNTY COAST INCLUDING DOWNTOWN LOS ANGELES- LOS ANGELES COUNTY MOUNTAINS EXCLUDING THE SANTA MONICA RANGE- LOS ANGELES COUNTY VALLEYS-SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY CENTRAL COAST- SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS- SAN LUIS OBISPO COUNTY MOUNTAINS-SANTA BARBARA COUNTY CENTRAL COAST- SANTA BARBARA COUNTY MOUNTAINS- SANTA BARBARA COUNTY SOUTH COAST- SANTA CLARITA VALLEY-SANTA MONICA MOUNTAINS RECREATIONAL AREA- SANTA YNEZ VALLEY-VENTURA COUNTY COAST- VENTURA COUNTY COASTAL VALLEYS- VENTURA COUNTY INTERIOR VALLEYS- VENTURA COUNTY MOUNTAINS- 600 AM PDT TUE SEP 18 2007
...A VERY RARE AND COLD SEPTEMBER STORM ON TAP FOR LATER THIS WEEK...

COMPUTER WEATHER FORECAST MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE THE DEVELOPMENT OF A VERY UNSEASONABLY STRONG AND COLD STORM SYSTEM IN THE WESTERN UNITED STATES LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT. CONFIDENCE IS GROWING THAT THIS SYSTEM WILL AFFECT SOUTHWESTERN CALIFORNIA LATER THIS WEEK.

THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO FORM IN BRITISH COLUMBIA LATER TODAY... THEN TREK DOWN THROUGH THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST...ARRIVING IN NORTHERN CALIFORNIA WEDNESDAY EVENING...AND IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA BY THURSDAY.

THIS STORM WILL BE PRECEDED BY A DEEP MARINE LAYER WHICH WILL LIKELY CREATE WIDESPREAD DRIZZLE BOTH WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THURSDAY MORNING. MEASURABLE LIGHT RAIN IS POSSIBLE DURING THE LATE NIGHT AND MORNING HOURS...ESPECIALLY IN THE FOOTHILL AREAS OF LOS ANGELES COUNTY. TEMPERATURES EVERYWHERE WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL ON WEDNESDAY... WITH ADDITIONAL COOLING LIKELY ON THURSDAY.

AS THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA THURSDAY...THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL INCREASE DURING THE DAY. THE STORM IS FORECAST TO TRACK RIGHT OVER SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY... BRINING A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE REGION.

THE COLD AIR ALOFT WILL CAUSE THE ATMOSPHERE TO DESTABILIZE ACROSS THE AREA...BRINGING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...SOME OF WHICH COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL. IN ADDITION... SNOW LEVELS WILL LOWER TO 7000 FEET BY LATE THURSDAY...THEN COULD FALL TO BETWEEN 6000 AND 6500 FEET THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...ALMOST UNPRECEDENTED FOR SEPTEMBER IN SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA. HIGH TEMPERATURES THURSDAY AND FRIDAY IN COASTAL AND VALLEY AREAS MAY REMAIN IN THE 60S...MORE TYPICAL OF JANUARY THAN SEPTEMBER...AND NEAR RECORD LOW VALUES FOR SEPTEMBER.

DUE TO UNCERTAINTIES IN THE EXACT TRACK AND TIMING OF THIS SYSTEM... THE THREAT OF RAIN IN ANY SIX HOUR PERIOD IN THE CURRENT FORECAST IS GENERALLY 50 PERCENT OR LESS. HOWEVER...THE CHANCE OF RAIN DURING THE 36 HOUR PERIOD FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT IS QUITE HIGH. IT MUST BE STRESSED THAT THESE TYPES STORMS ARE NOTORIOUSLY TRICKY AND REAL CONFIDENCE WILL NOT COME UNTIL THE STORM MANIFESTS ITSELF ON SATELLITE IMAGERY.

EXACTLY HOW MUCH RAIN THIS SYSTEM WILL PRODUCE IS STILL IN QUESTION...AND WILL BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT UPON HOW MUCH MOISTURE IT CAN ATTAIN FROM THE PACIFIC. IF IT TRACKS A BIT FARTHER OFF THE COAST...IT WOULD LIKELY GATHER MORE IN THE WAY OF MOISTURE... INCREASING POTENTIAL RAINFALL TOTALS. IF IT TRACKS FARTHER INLAND...IT WILL REMAIN STARVED FOR MOISTURE... RESULTING IN A LOW PRECIPITATION EVENT. THIS TYPE OF SYSTEM DOES HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS IN EXCESS OF ONE INCH UNDER THE RIGHT CIRCUMSTANCES.

THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE OUT OF THE AREA LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SATURDAY...WITH A DECREASING THREAT OF SHOWERS ACROSS THE REGION.

THIS STORM WILL LIKELY TAKE MANY TRICKS AND TURNS AS IT MIGRATES SOUTHWARD. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL BE ISSUING MANY FORECAST UPDATES BETWEEN NOW AND THE STORMS ARRIVAL. PLEASE STAY TUNED TO YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF WEATHER INFORMATION THIS WEEK TO ENSURE YOU HAVE THE LATEST FORECAST AND WARNING INFORMATION.

sensinitas
09-19-2007, 06:54 AM
Wow...guess I should think about taking off the CAI and putting the short ram on...

mike
09-19-2007, 08:03 AM
you have to drive through some damn deep water with a CAI to do some damage, not as easy as everyone thinks, basically you have to be borderline retarded.

I love storms, I welcome our new rulers and bow before them!

xoutofstepx
09-19-2007, 08:14 AM
great, i drive for work. : /

Mr. Nobody
09-19-2007, 08:18 AM
great, i drive for work. : /


Me to.... all night long... in an ambulance. :ha:

sensinitas
09-19-2007, 10:13 AM
you have to drive through some damn deep water with a CAI to do some damage, not as easy as everyone thinks, basically you have to be borderline retarded.

I love storms, I welcome our new rulers and bow before them!


Agreed...but...I don't know where all the puddles, or flooded street corners are. I know in Encinitas, some of the street corners flood pretty deep during a good storm. The short ram just gives me piece of mind.

DarkstaR
09-19-2007, 10:24 AM
pretty interesting, i wonder how bad its gonna get down here in SD

bugzy
09-19-2007, 10:36 AM
will have to keep up with the news report, but for now, its suppose to be mild

calistyle
09-19-2007, 11:17 AM
Sucks! I was hoping it would be a nice day out for the red bull air show this Saturday.

Kelly Girl
09-19-2007, 11:43 AM
man, i gots to go to a wedding, and i'm sure bridezilla will be freaking out!!

saraH
09-19-2007, 12:08 PM
So a little rain and you guys all freak out?

GTIcrazy
09-19-2007, 12:08 PM
I'm hoping for a nice Saturday too...in both OC and LA. I gotta football game to go to on Saturday. My wife's headed to Catalina with some friends on Friday...so the more calm the ocean the better. My fingers are crossed that the storm heads east sooner than later.

jwill'sMK4
09-19-2007, 12:11 PM
So a little rain and you guys all freak out?


it better be a lil rain cuz i'll be pushing carts in it

v2rocket
09-19-2007, 12:15 PM
weE i already have a short ram! extra performance and less heat soak!

jwill'sMK4
09-19-2007, 12:19 PM
weE i already have a short ram! extra performance and less heat soak!



LMAO so wut 100 whp? JK JK JK!!!!

Kelly Girl
09-19-2007, 12:50 PM
So a little rain and you guys all freak out?


baby it rains like 5 days a year here...

bugzy
09-19-2007, 12:51 PM
So a little rain and you guys all freak out?
you try driving around with 396hp V8 ;)

traction control kicks on in 2nd gear :)

saraH
09-19-2007, 12:54 PM
I've driven many cars in many kinds of weather. I drove my mkIV one winter with summer tires on it through the snow. I guess I'm just used to shitty driving conditions.

v2rocket
09-19-2007, 01:10 PM
LMAO so wut 100 whp? JK JK JK!!!!

no actually more like 120 rwhp! on my twin turbo rotary piston civic gtr type s!

but really there is a small difference in the butt dyno

bugzy
09-19-2007, 01:13 PM
I've driven many cars in many kinds of weather. I drove my mkIV one winter with summer tires on it through the snow. I guess I'm just used to shitty driving conditions.
ive driven my B6 Avant up to Mammoth on 19" and T1S's ;) that was interesting

i also launched with Falken Azenis Sport's in my Avant too up in Big Bear

i miss allwheel drive ;)

CALL AAA
09-19-2007, 03:20 PM
you try driving around with 396hp V8 ;)

traction control kicks on in 2nd gear :)
Hey, you got rid of an AWD Audi to drive that thing. Don't complain to us.

Wait, did I hear "snow?"

vwbora1point8t
09-19-2007, 03:47 PM
YES, for the love of Dios, finally some fkcn WEATHER UP IN THIS PIECE. opportunity to try out my new bosch icons wipers that i've had for 6 months and have yet to use:)

jwill'sMK4
09-19-2007, 05:20 PM
time to get some wipers

slowjet
09-19-2007, 05:34 PM
you try driving around with 396hp V8 ;)

traction control kicks on in 2nd gear :)

Me he... AWD FTW! To all you crybabies out there, a gift for ya'll to stay dry; (llllllllllllllllllll}--------

:P lol

EDM
09-19-2007, 06:30 PM
AWD FTW, no slippin and slidin going on here. :p

mike
09-19-2007, 06:57 PM
Yeah, an E39 M5 has a hard time with traction in the dry, let alone wet roads. AWD wins!

bugzy
09-19-2007, 07:04 PM
Yeah, an E39 M5 has a hard time with traction in the dry, let alone wet roads. AWD wins!
can i also comment that the E39 M5 traction control sucks !! it comes on abruptly

v2rocket
09-19-2007, 07:35 PM
AWD FTW, no slippin and slidin going on here. :p


but does it have vtec?!!?!?!? :D................................................ ...:(

vwbora1point8t
09-19-2007, 07:41 PM
you try driving around with 396hp V8 ;)

traction control kicks on in 2nd gear :)

I'll take that M5 off your hands cuz i care about your safety, trade ya straight up:tup2:

*spits in hand* shake on it?

GTIcrazy
09-20-2007, 05:15 AM
It just rained is south OC for about 10 or 15 seconds...

slowjet
09-20-2007, 10:41 PM
meh, this weak ass puny storm aint nothing compared to all the rain two years ago.

Dubbster
09-20-2007, 11:00 PM
Rained pretty good up in the AV. Turned on my wipers for the first time in over a year!! Needless to say, they were torn and covered with dirt, just made a whole mess of the windshield. Had to stop by the gas station on the way in to pick up some wipers real quick, not the best, but they got me there happily.

RollinInGreenz
09-21-2007, 09:58 AM
I took my windshield wipers off my car to repaint them...no sprinkles so far

mo_gti
09-21-2007, 10:48 AM
clear blue skies... where is this rain you promised! :mad:

FunkTron
09-21-2007, 11:31 AM
i still call bs on the whole thing.........

EDM
09-21-2007, 04:33 PM
It has been beautiful here all day but the clouds are slowly making their way onshore. It was sunny when I got home about 20 mins ago and now it is cloudy. I hope is pours tonight.

Pireboi251
09-21-2007, 05:07 PM
it rained real qiuck yesturday in Mira Mesa then it just burned up...

Supposedly its suppoer to pour tonihgt... i hope not... im sitting on near bald Eagle F1s...>_<, yea they have good wet traction... but the fact there in the "change me stage" kinda makes me worry.

RollinInGreenz
09-21-2007, 06:01 PM
Well, I'm supposed to go up to Disneyland right now and meet up with a couple friends, however, without wipers or any kind of substantial tread on my front tires, I think I'm gonna have to sit this one out...besides...Disneyland in the rain...not so much.

saraH
09-21-2007, 06:04 PM
I've never been to Disneyland. I think I would enjoy it even in the rain....

DTolo
09-21-2007, 06:17 PM
I'm seein the clouds of the shorline. Hope it rains it all out over night so the Red Bull Air Races are still a go and not raining tomorrow!

Pireboi251
09-21-2007, 06:21 PM
it will...well acorring to weather .com it will

Lilvr6
09-21-2007, 06:55 PM
gti's and rain dont mix

veedubber7
09-21-2007, 07:57 PM
i still don't see a cloud in the sky here in point loma

scottd1975
09-21-2007, 08:02 PM
yep BS on rain

GTIcrazy
09-21-2007, 08:09 PM
I just need a dry Saturday...and I don't see much on the weather radar right now...

http://www.weather.com/outlook/recreation/outdoors/map/interactive/92630?from=36hour_map_large&animation=true&zoom=7&interactiveMapLayer=radar

Hey all you Mk2 owners...and maybe Mk1 and others...be sure to jam a screwdriver down into the drain holes next to the fire wall to clean them out (each side in the engine compartment under the tray), so that you don't step into a wet car after some rain. Been there, done that.

JETTAone420
09-21-2007, 08:40 PM
my friend shannon is driving back to wyoming rite now and she said their was thunder storms commin from vegas towards this way...im at work rite now and its dark! as hell outside

StrungOutScott
09-21-2007, 09:30 PM
I pray this storm fizzles out, My god damned sunroof is stuck about 2 inches open. and my rear tires are resembling slicks.

CALL AAA
09-22-2007, 01:52 AM
I'm posting from my secret bunker, 60 feet below my garage. I have provisions for 3 weeks and a boat standing by, in case San Diego becomes Waterworld.
I'm just going to wait down here until this blows over. I'll always remember this as the Storm of the Millenium.

EDM
09-22-2007, 04:46 AM
We had a little rain on and off throughout the night but from the looks of the weather maps it doesn't look like it is over just yet.

Pireboi251
09-22-2007, 10:34 AM
i think were good for today... it just showered in the morning...and now its brihgt out... so i think were good

sensinitas
09-22-2007, 11:14 AM
That was weak. Now my car needs to be washed again...

wikedgolf
09-22-2007, 11:46 AM
i drove home from vegas last night and the lightning was amazing!

rain wasnt to bad, but it was just amazing

RollinInGreenz
09-22-2007, 01:10 PM
Hey all you Mk2 owners...and maybe Mk1 and others...be sure to jam a screwdriver down into the drain holes next to the fire wall to clean them out (each side in the engine compartment under the tray), so that you don't step into a wet car after some rain. Been there, done that.

good to know!

I didn't get rained on at all yesterday, even made it to disneyland for 3 hours, came all the way home, not a drop...

this constant weather-scoping by the media is kinda like the nonstop election that we seem to be experiencing